Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 341.547544 389.613785 443.878657 510.049070 589.056496 680.989707 796.968756
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 277.017364 340.314346 418.889459 525.120320 667.372772 854.804791 1126.531002
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 238.361177 306.777106 397.014963 527.627023 716.838014 989.287218 1427.648821
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 207.283244 276.219196 371.407802 516.661295 740.663919 1087.565757 1697.515876
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 187.157443 256.953664 357.235110 517.574158 779.217006 1212.716517 2042.673041
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 167.966186 236.205047 337.457944 505.704140 793.607766 1299.158823 2343.057724
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 154.368585 221.937409 325.239576 503.231326 822.003236 1414.538252 2734.938224
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 138.170782 201.921949 301.578599 478.041526 805.264362 1441.059631 2946.827173
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 133.656359 199.616194 305.839971 501.021838 880.707839 1665.767209 3695.939984
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 130.881260 199.704813 313.864378 531.594544 976.460837 1958.342209 4752.212297
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 123.590859 191.588126 306.881247 533.029310 1012.775236 2127.043215 5551.952420
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 114.793567 180.156998 292.905357 519.019141 1013.321991 2210.052491 6133.498551
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 106.601778 169.345782 279.433269 505.152948 1013.793889 2298.782414 6807.176881
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 103.149745 166.562122 280.411828 521.011149 1086.431254 2603.224760 8476.772185
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 98.324962 160.897035 275.372590 523.418370 1127.228193 2832.388263 10038.759489
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 92.406055 152.781083 264.870245 512.567429 1132.658988 2958.132319 11256.593701
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 88.342898 147.772286 259.952605 513.470805 1168.965951 3195.010234 13253.208572
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 83.293944 140.560748 250.032750 501.718256 1168.960736 3311.938538 14738.152991
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 79.603948 135.671938 244.390152 499.269817 1194.655223 3530.036901 17095.494998
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 74.031545 126.832248 229.984992 474.326616 1151.240928 3480.078362 17664.046982
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 73.303980 127.321750 234.968753 497.082087 1253.831911 4035.318414 23412.843731
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 73.173611 128.960501 242.513588 527.351639 1387.762972 4794.336974 32629.761827
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 70.640213 125.619657 239.008273 528.772069 1429.525744 5171.909076 39258.970543